The commercial HVAC/R (Heating, Ventilation, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration) industry is poised for significant transformations in 2025. These developments are mostly driven by technological advancements, evolving consumer demands, and stringent environmental regulations. In this blog, we explore the top trends to keep on the radar throughout 2025 and beyond.
A major shift in the industry is the move towards refrigerants with lower Global Warming Potential (GWP). The American Innovation and Manufacturing (AIM) Act mandates a phasedown of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), potent greenhouse gases commonly used in HVAC/R systems. Starting January 1, 2025, restrictions will take effect on the use of higher-GWP HFCs in new refrigeration, air conditioning, and heat pump equipment.
Under the AIM Act, new commercial refrigeration systems must use refrigerants with a GWP below 150 or 300 starting in 2026 or 2027. However, individual states have implemented more stringent regulations. One example is California requiring new commercial refrigeration systems with more than 50 pounds of refrigerant to use alternatives with a GWP below 150, which has been in effect since 2022. Additionally, as of January 1, 2025, the sale of bulk refrigerants with a GWP exceeding 2,200, such as R-404A and R-507, is prohibited in California. These regulations, whether at the state or federal level, significantly shape the landscape for the HVAC/R industry and thus can’t be ignored.
With the gradual shift to more eco-friendly operations in full swing, energy efficiency remains a top priority, with innovations aimed at reducing operational costs and minimizing environmental impact. The integration of smart HVAC systems, capable of real-time monitoring and adjustments, is becoming increasingly prevalent. These systems utilize advanced sensors and artificial intelligence to optimize performance, leading to significant energy savings. One study suggests that AI can cut energy consumption and carbon emissions in buildings by at least 8%.
The demand for improved indoor air quality (IAQ) has surged, especially in commercial settings. Businesses are investing in advanced filtration systems and air purifiers to ensure a healthier environment for occupants. This trend is expected to continue, with a focus on technologies that can effectively remove contaminants and provide real-time air quality monitoring.
The adoption of smart and connected HVAC systems is, and has been, on the rise. These systems allow for remote monitoring and control, predictive maintenance, and seamless integration with building management systems. The Internet of Things (IoT) enables HVAC units to communicate with other devices, enhancing efficiency and user experience. This trend towards more advanced controls that output more data while requiring less input is not expected to slow down anytime soon so be on the lookout for the latest and greatest technology advancements and breakthroughs through 2025 and beyond.
As the HVAC/R industry evolves, there is an increasing emphasis on workforce development. Technicians are required to stay abreast of new technologies and regulatory requirements. Training programs focusing on the safe handling of low-GWP refrigerants, system diagnostics, and smart technologies are becoming essential to meet the industry’s growing demands.
The commercial HVAC/R industry in 2025 is set to undergo substantial changes, driven by environmental legislation, technological innovation, and shifting market demands. Stakeholders must stay informed and adapt to these trends to remain competitive and compliant in this dynamic landscape. Call us at 800-382-3150 to learn how Nextech can help future-proof your facilities today!
